Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 10.999275 12.308642 13.779473 15.567875 17.702480 20.192880 23.354488
2025-04-27 9.468757 11.179457 13.258297 16.019298 19.667649 24.441975 31.375946
2025-05-04 8.194197 9.988057 12.274461 15.485413 20.023765 26.458245 36.788840
2025-05-11 7.601728 9.526388 12.084963 15.865125 21.557563 30.289414 45.847979
2025-05-18 6.960383 8.902927 11.567732 15.660760 22.140396 32.742420 53.413329
2025-05-25 6.447066 8.390293 11.128578 15.479271 22.681612 35.189939 61.800640
2025-06-01 6.052370 8.000709 10.814184 15.426923 23.393951 38.061838 72.190443
2025-06-08 5.632078 7.534966 10.335274 15.041014 23.449605 39.692884 80.517629
2025-06-15 5.352033 7.251139 10.102364 15.022075 24.145663 42.747439 93.930161
2025-06-22 4.970108 6.786321 9.547191 14.390827 23.588897 43.015786 99.865617
2025-06-29 4.616167 6.342306 8.992495 13.704761 22.828329 42.670581 103.880162
2025-07-06 4.343423 6.007594 8.590253 13.250002 22.466122 43.176771 111.066677
2025-07-13 4.414994 6.221660 9.111538 14.547700 25.989211 54.373571 167.599953
2025-07-20 4.313317 6.152944 9.154770 14.961938 27.720260 61.711887 220.102556
2025-07-27 4.071583 5.841859 8.758145 14.476693 27.307949 62.748035 242.286004
2025-08-03 3.982162 5.774521 8.779376 14.821789 28.930685 70.724274 322.603014
2025-08-10 3.819737 5.575970 8.552948 14.636097 29.211624 74.453959 383.578365
2025-08-17 3.672958 5.395723 8.346897 14.471112 29.519147 78.461302 460.881810
2025-08-24 3.553324 5.255120 8.203272 14.423510 30.132372 83.960709 578.488116
2025-08-31 3.401497 5.051991 7.931722 14.072398 29.858042 85.850770 663.071536
2025-09-07 3.303171 4.936607 7.816613 14.055158 30.524698 92.120221 860.791486
2025-09-14 3.140739 4.702800 7.465829 13.480054 29.489326 90.376275 900.957741
2025-09-21 2.980689 4.467804 7.102901 12.853933 28.232528 87.267336 902.645859